Yeclano vs Elche Ilicitano

27 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Yeclano

Elche Ilicitano

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.9% DRAW 29.2% AWAY 20.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.6% 1.87 DRAW 29.3% 3.10 AWAY 22.1% 4.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Elche Ilicitano

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Yeclano Elche Ilicitano

Shots 7.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Elche Ilicitano, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Yeclano Elche Ilicitano

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 5.3

Yeclano has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Yeclano Elche Ilicitano

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Yeclano ↑ +0.14 (+8.1%)

Elche Ilicitano ↓ -0.35 (-7.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.