Navalcarnero vs Conquense

27 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.0 pp

Navalcarnero

Conquense

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.5% DRAW 32.7% AWAY 38.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.5% 3.37 DRAW 32.0% 3.00 AWAY 39.5% 2.43

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Navalcarnero Conquense

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 11.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Navalcarnero Conquense

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Navalcarnero Conquense

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Navalcarnero ↑ +0.37 (+12.3%)

Conquense ↑ +0.26 (+12.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.