Barcelona B vs Pena Sport

26 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Barcelona B

Pena Sport

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 80.7% DRAW 12.8% AWAY 6.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 80.5% 1.17 DRAW 13.4% 7.02 AWAY 6.1% 15.37

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Barcelona B

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Barcelona B Pena Sport

Shots 13.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Barcelona B, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Barcelona B Pena Sport

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Pena Sport has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Barcelona B Pena Sport

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Barcelona B ↓ -0.03 (-2.8%)

Pena Sport ↑ +5.37 (+53.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.