CE Manresa vs UD Logrones B

26 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.5 pp

CE Manresa

UD Logrones B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.9% DRAW 28.3% AWAY 30.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.9% 2.07 DRAW 27.9% 3.40 AWAY 26.2% 3.62

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates UD Logrones B clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 30.8% win probability, compared with 26.2% implied by the market. The 4.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: UD Logrones B

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CE Manresa UD Logrones B

Shots 6.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 16.3 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours UD Logrones B, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CE Manresa UD Logrones B

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CE Manresa UD Logrones B

The combined recent performance profile favours UD Logrones B.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CE Manresa ↓ -0.83 (-28.6%)

UD Logrones B ↑ +1.42 (+64.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.