Naestved vs Nykobing

02 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Naestved

Nykobing

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.0% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 41.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.5% 2.75 DRAW 24.7% 3.96 AWAY 39.9% 2.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Nykobing

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Naestved Nykobing

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 14.3 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours Nykobing, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Naestved Nykobing

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Naestved Nykobing

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Naestved ↑ +0.42 (+18.2%)

Nykobing ↓ -0.34 (-12.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.