Hellerup IK vs FC Roskilde

25 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.0 pp

Hellerup IK

FC Roskilde

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 13.1% DRAW 19.4% AWAY 67.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 16.1% 5.96 DRAW 21.4% 4.49 AWAY 62.4% 1.54

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates FC Roskilde clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 67.5% win probability, compared with 62.4% implied by the market. The 5.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Roskilde has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hellerup IK FC Roskilde

Shots 10.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 18.3 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output favours FC Roskilde, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hellerup IK FC Roskilde

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 9.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.3

FC Roskilde has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hellerup IK FC Roskilde

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Roskilde.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Hellerup IK ↑ +2.04 (+51.8%)

FC Roskilde ↓ -0.17 (-9.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.