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Poland III Liga · PL

KSZO Ostrowiec vs Hetman Zamosc

27 Sep 2026 · 18:00
NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp
KSZO Ostrowiec
Hetman Zamosc
HOME 75.1% DRAW 16.8% AWAY 8.1%
HOME 75.7% 1.30 DRAW 16.8% 5.84 AWAY 7.5% 13.20

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: KSZO Ostrowiec

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
KSZO Ostrowiec Hetman Zamosc
Shots 15.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours KSZO Ostrowiec, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
KSZO Ostrowiec Hetman Zamosc
Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 1.3 · On target allowed 0.8

Hetman Zamosc has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
KSZO Ostrowiec Hetman Zamosc

The combined recent performance profile favours Hetman Zamosc.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

KSZO Ostrowiec ↑ +0.04 (+3.2%)
Hetman Zamosc ↑ +4.20 (+46.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.