Wisla Krakow II vs Czarni Polaniec

25 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.3 pp

Wisla Krakow II

Czarni Polaniec

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.5% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 32.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.3% 2.05 DRAW 24.3% 3.90 AWAY 29.4% 3.23

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Czarni Polaniec relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 32.7% win probability, compared with 29.4% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Czarni Polaniec has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Wisla Krakow II Czarni Polaniec

Shots 8.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 17.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Czarni Polaniec, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Wisla Krakow II Czarni Polaniec

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Wisla Krakow II Czarni Polaniec

The combined recent performance profile favours Czarni Polaniec.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Wisla Krakow II ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

Czarni Polaniec ↑ +0.43 (+15.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.