Chelmianka Chelm vs Podlasie Biala Podlaska

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Chelmianka Chelm

Podlasie Biala Podlaska

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.0% DRAW 22.2% AWAY 15.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.9% 1.50 DRAW 22.6% 4.10 AWAY 15.5% 6.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Chelmianka Chelm

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chelmianka Chelm Podlasie Biala Podlaska

Shots 7.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 5.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chelmianka Chelm Podlasie Biala Podlaska

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.0

Podlasie Biala Podlaska has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chelmianka Chelm Podlasie Biala Podlaska

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Chelmianka Chelm ↑ +0.14 (+10.1%)

Podlasie Biala Podlaska ↓ -1.25 (-17.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.