Podlasie Biala Podlaska vs Star Starachowice

01 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Podlasie Biala Podlaska

Star Starachowice

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.4% DRAW 23.4% AWAY 30.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.4% 2.07 DRAW 24.2% 3.96 AWAY 29.5% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Star Starachowice

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Podlasie Biala Podlaska Star Starachowice

Shots 5.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 10.8 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Star Starachowice, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Podlasie Biala Podlaska Star Starachowice

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Podlasie Biala Podlaska has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Podlasie Biala Podlaska Star Starachowice

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Podlasie Biala Podlaska ↑ +0.07 (+3.3%)

Star Starachowice ↑ +0.35 (+12.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.