FC Fleury 91 vs Aubagne Air Bel

26 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

FC Fleury 91

Aubagne Air Bel

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.8% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 24.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.4% 1.88 DRAW 25.4% 3.74 AWAY 24.2% 3.92

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Fleury 91

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Fleury 91 Aubagne Air Bel

Shots 10.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 7.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours FC Fleury 91, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Fleury 91 Aubagne Air Bel

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Aubagne Air Bel has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Fleury 91 Aubagne Air Bel

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FC Fleury 91 ↓ -1.42 (-42.9%)

Aubagne Air Bel ↑ +1.82 (+86.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.