Thionville FC vs La Roche VF

26 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Thionville FC

La Roche VF

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.3% DRAW 28.4% AWAY 36.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.3% 2.70 DRAW 28.5% 3.34 AWAY 36.2% 2.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: La Roche VF

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Thionville FC La Roche VF

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours La Roche VF, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Thionville FC La Roche VF

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Thionville FC La Roche VF

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Thionville FC ↑ +0.05 (+1.9%)

La Roche VF ↑ +0.03 (+1.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.