Balzan FC vs Sliema Wanderers

20 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Balzan FC

Sliema Wanderers

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.4% DRAW 28.2% AWAY 44.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.2% 3.52 DRAW 28.2% 3.40 AWAY 44.6% 2.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Balzan FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Balzan FC Sliema Wanderers

Shots 9.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Balzan FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Balzan FC Sliema Wanderers

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Sliema Wanderers has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Balzan FC Sliema Wanderers

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Balzan FC ↑ +0.22 (+6.7%)

Sliema Wanderers ↑ +0.13 (+6.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.