CA Antoniano vs Ciudad Lucena

27 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

CA Antoniano

Ciudad Lucena

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.9% DRAW 31.5% AWAY 27.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.2% 2.41 DRAW 31.2% 3.10 AWAY 28.6% 3.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA Antoniano

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Antoniano Ciudad Lucena

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 7.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours CA Antoniano, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Antoniano Ciudad Lucena

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Antoniano Ciudad Lucena

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CA Antoniano ↑ +0.50 (+26.2%)

Ciudad Lucena ↓ -0.29 (-7.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.