Rec de Huelva vs Xerez CD

27 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Rec de Huelva

Xerez CD

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.1% DRAW 27.9% AWAY 20.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.3% 1.81 DRAW 27.8% 3.40 AWAY 20.0% 4.72

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Rec de Huelva

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rec de Huelva Xerez CD

Shots 10.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 13.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rec de Huelva Xerez CD

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Rec de Huelva has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rec de Huelva Xerez CD

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Rec de Huelva ↑ +0.01 (+0.3%)

Xerez CD ↑ +0.57 (+13.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.