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Poland III Liga · PL

ROW 1964 Rybnik vs Stal Brzeg

26 Sep 2026 · 18:00
NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp
ROW 1964 Rybnik
Stal Brzeg
HOME 47.3% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 27.8%
HOME 47.6% 1.99 DRAW 25.4% 3.73 AWAY 27.0% 3.50

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Stal Brzeg

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
ROW 1964 Rybnik Stal Brzeg
Shots 11.8 · On target 5.5 Shots 17.0 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Stal Brzeg, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
ROW 1964 Rybnik Stal Brzeg
Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.8

ROW 1964 Rybnik has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
ROW 1964 Rybnik Stal Brzeg

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

ROW 1964 Rybnik ↑ +0.20 (+11.2%)
Stal Brzeg = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.