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Poland III Liga · PL

Barycz Sulow vs Zaglebie Lubin II

26 Sep 2026 · 18:00
NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp
Barycz Sulow
Zaglebie Lubin II
HOME 36.1% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 39.2%
HOME 34.2% 2.73 DRAW 25.2% 3.70 AWAY 40.6% 2.30

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Barycz Sulow

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Barycz Sulow Zaglebie Lubin II
Shots 16.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 15.5 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Barycz Sulow Zaglebie Lubin II
Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.8

Barycz Sulow has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Barycz Sulow Zaglebie Lubin II

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Barycz Sulow ↑ +0.63 (+29.8%)
Zaglebie Lubin II ↓ -0.40 (-14.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.