Gornik Polkowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec

18 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Gornik Polkowice

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.3% DRAW 26.1% AWAY 32.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.7% 2.23 DRAW 26.4% 3.60 AWAY 30.9% 3.08

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Zaglebie Sosnowiec has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gornik Polkowice Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 12.5 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Zaglebie Sosnowiec, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gornik Polkowice Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gornik Polkowice Zaglebie Sosnowiec

The combined recent performance profile favours Zaglebie Sosnowiec.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Gornik Polkowice ↓ -0.09 (-3.9%)

Zaglebie Sosnowiec ↑ +0.57 (+22.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.