LKS Lomza vs Zabkovia Zabki

18 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.2 pp

LKS Lomza

Zabkovia Zabki

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.7% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 47.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.0% 3.02 DRAW 24.8% 3.78 AWAY 44.2% 2.12

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Zabkovia Zabki relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 47.4% win probability, compared with 44.2% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Zabkovia Zabki

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

LKS Lomza Zabkovia Zabki

Shots 10.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 20.8 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours Zabkovia Zabki, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

LKS Lomza Zabkovia Zabki

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

LKS Lomza Zabkovia Zabki

The combined recent performance profile favours Zabkovia Zabki.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

LKS Lomza ↑ +0.08 (+2.5%)

Zabkovia Zabki ↑ +0.09 (+4.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.