Zabkovia Zabki vs Mlawianka Mlawa

25 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.8 pp

Zabkovia Zabki

Mlawianka Mlawa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.5% DRAW 20.3% AWAY 20.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.7% 1.80 DRAW 22.1% 4.46 AWAY 23.2% 4.24

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Zabkovia Zabki clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 59.5% win probability, compared with 54.7% implied by the market. The 4.8 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Zabkovia Zabki has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Zabkovia Zabki Mlawianka Mlawa

Shots 19.3 · On target 6.8 Shots 16.0 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Zabkovia Zabki Mlawianka Mlawa

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 7.3

Zabkovia Zabki has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Zabkovia Zabki Mlawianka Mlawa

The combined recent performance profile favours Zabkovia Zabki.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Zabkovia Zabki ↑ +0.10 (+5.9%)

Mlawianka Mlawa ↑ +0.69 (+19.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.