Wisla Plock II vs Jagiellonia Bialystok II

25 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.1 pp

Wisla Plock II

Jagiellonia Bialystok II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.8% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 37.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.2% 2.20 DRAW 24.1% 3.85 AWAY 33.7% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Jagiellonia Bialystok II clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 37.8% win probability, compared with 33.7% implied by the market. The 4.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Jagiellonia Bialystok II has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Wisla Plock II Jagiellonia Bialystok II

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 14.8 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output favours Jagiellonia Bialystok II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Wisla Plock II Jagiellonia Bialystok II

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 7.8 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Jagiellonia Bialystok II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Wisla Plock II Jagiellonia Bialystok II

The combined recent performance profile favours Jagiellonia Bialystok II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Wisla Plock II ↑ +0.05 (+2.3%)

Jagiellonia Bialystok II = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.