Polonia Lidzbark vs KTS Weszlo

26 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Polonia Lidzbark

KTS Weszlo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.3% DRAW 25.7% AWAY 49.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.5% 3.90 DRAW 25.8% 3.70 AWAY 49.7% 1.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Polonia Lidzbark

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Polonia Lidzbark KTS Weszlo

Shots 12.8 · On target 5.5 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Polonia Lidzbark, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Polonia Lidzbark KTS Weszlo

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 2.8

KTS Weszlo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Polonia Lidzbark KTS Weszlo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Polonia Lidzbark ↓ -0.06 (-1.4%)

KTS Weszlo ↑ +0.18 (+10.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.