Bourg-Peronnas vs Concarneau

26 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Bourg-Peronnas

Concarneau

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.6% DRAW 29.9% AWAY 49.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.1% 4.60 DRAW 29.5% 3.29 AWAY 49.3% 1.97

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Concarneau has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bourg-Peronnas Concarneau

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 8.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Concarneau, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bourg-Peronnas Concarneau

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Concarneau has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bourg-Peronnas Concarneau

The combined recent performance profile favours Concarneau.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Bourg-Peronnas ↑ +0.48 (+11.7%)

Concarneau ↑ +0.07 (+3.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.