Valenciennes vs Le Puy

26 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Valenciennes

Le Puy

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.0% DRAW 28.8% AWAY 31.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.1% 2.32 DRAW 28.7% 3.32 AWAY 30.2% 3.16

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Le Puy has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Valenciennes Le Puy

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Valenciennes Le Puy

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Valenciennes Le Puy

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Valenciennes ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

Le Puy ↑ +0.02 (+0.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.