Villefranche vs Versailles 78

26 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Villefranche

Versailles 78

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.1% DRAW 28.1% AWAY 42.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.6% 3.50 DRAW 27.9% 3.46 AWAY 44.5% 2.17

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Villefranche

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Villefranche Versailles 78

Shots 12.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Villefranche, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Villefranche Versailles 78

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.8

Versailles 78 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Villefranche Versailles 78

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Villefranche ↑ +0.14 (+4.2%)

Versailles 78 ↑ +0.09 (+4.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.