Cardiff MU vs Haverfordwest County

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Cardiff MU

Haverfordwest County

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.5% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 27.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.1% 2.12 DRAW 25.6% 3.83 AWAY 28.3% 3.46

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Cardiff MU

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cardiff MU Haverfordwest County

Shots 12.0 · On target 6.3 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Cardiff MU, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cardiff MU Haverfordwest County

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cardiff MU Haverfordwest County

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Cardiff MU ↑ +0.14 (+7.1%)

Haverfordwest County ↑ +0.06 (+1.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.