Favoritner AC vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen

02 Oct 2026 · 19:10

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Favoritner AC

FC Marchfeld Donauauen

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.1% DRAW 21.1% AWAY 56.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.7% 4.87 DRAW 21.3% 4.52 AWAY 59.0% 1.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Favoritner AC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Favoritner AC FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Shots 14.8 · On target 7.8 Shots 14.3 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Favoritner AC FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Favoritner AC FC Marchfeld Donauauen

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Favoritner AC ↓ -0.38 (-7.2%)

FC Marchfeld Donauauen ↑ +0.18 (+12.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.