Oberwart vs SV Horn

02 Oct 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Oberwart

SV Horn

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.7% DRAW 19.9% AWAY 21.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.1% 1.67 DRAW 21.1% 4.53 AWAY 21.9% 4.36

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Oberwart

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Oberwart SV Horn

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 8.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Oberwart, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Oberwart SV Horn

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Oberwart SV Horn

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Oberwart ↓ -0.18 (-9.7%)

SV Horn ↑ +1.31 (+43.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.