FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs Oberwart

25 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Oberwart

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.6% DRAW 20.6% AWAY 20.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.4% 1.62 DRAW 21.8% 4.20 AWAY 21.8% 4.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Marchfeld Donauauen

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Marchfeld Donauauen Oberwart

Shots 14.3 · On target 7.3 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Marchfeld Donauauen, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Marchfeld Donauauen Oberwart

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Marchfeld Donauauen Oberwart

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FC Marchfeld Donauauen ↓ -0.18 (-9.9%)

Oberwart ↑ +0.95 (+29.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.