SV Gloggnitz vs FCM Traiskirchen

02 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

SV Gloggnitz

FCM Traiskirchen

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.0% DRAW 19.3% AWAY 48.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.5% 3.34 DRAW 20.2% 4.72 AWAY 51.3% 1.86

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for SV Gloggnitz relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 32.0% win probability, compared with 28.5% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

SV Gloggnitz has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

SV Gloggnitz FCM Traiskirchen

Shots 10.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours SV Gloggnitz, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SV Gloggnitz FCM Traiskirchen

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 6.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SV Gloggnitz FCM Traiskirchen

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

SV Gloggnitz ↑ +0.06 (+1.8%)

FCM Traiskirchen ↑ +0.09 (+4.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.