FC Gleisdorf 09 vs SV Tillmitsch

02 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

FC Gleisdorf 09

SV Tillmitsch

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.9% DRAW 22.9% AWAY 41.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.1% 2.88 DRAW 23.6% 4.05 AWAY 43.3% 2.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Gleisdorf 09 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 35.9% win probability, compared with 33.1% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Gleisdorf 09 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Gleisdorf 09 SV Tillmitsch

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Gleisdorf 09, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Gleisdorf 09 SV Tillmitsch

Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 8.3 Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 8.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Gleisdorf 09 SV Tillmitsch

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Gleisdorf 09 ↑ +0.13 (+4.9%)

SV Tillmitsch ↑ +0.11 (+5.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.