Atus Velden vs SK Treibach

02 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +7.2 pp

Atus Velden

SK Treibach

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.9% DRAW 20.2% AWAY 21.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.7% 1.90 DRAW 22.3% 4.31 AWAY 27.0% 3.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Atus Velden substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 57.9% win probability, compared with 50.7% implied by the market. The 7.2 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Atus Velden has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atus Velden SK Treibach

Shots 16.8 · On target 6.8 Shots 6.8 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Atus Velden, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atus Velden SK Treibach

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Atus Velden has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atus Velden SK Treibach

The combined recent performance profile favours Atus Velden.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Atus Velden ↓ -0.01 (-0.7%)

SK Treibach ↑ +0.45 (+14.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.