Austria Klagenfurt vs SV Donau Klagenfurt

22 Sep 2026 · 19:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Austria Klagenfurt

SV Donau Klagenfurt

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 72.7% DRAW 16.0% AWAY 11.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 71.8% 1.30 DRAW 17.0% 5.50 AWAY 11.2% 8.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Austria Klagenfurt

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Austria Klagenfurt SV Donau Klagenfurt

Shots 13.0 · On target 6.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Austria Klagenfurt, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Austria Klagenfurt SV Donau Klagenfurt

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Austria Klagenfurt SV Donau Klagenfurt

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Austria Klagenfurt = (0.0%)

SV Donau Klagenfurt ↑ +2.30 (+38.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.