Seekirchen vs Union Gurten

02 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Seekirchen

Union Gurten

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.2% DRAW 22.6% AWAY 46.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.8% 2.99 DRAW 23.6% 4.04 AWAY 44.6% 2.14

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Seekirchen

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Seekirchen Union Gurten

Shots 6.3 · On target 2.0 Shots 2.5 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Seekirchen, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Seekirchen Union Gurten

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 0.8

Union Gurten has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Seekirchen Union Gurten

The combined recent performance profile favours Union Gurten.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Seekirchen ↓ -0.26 (-7.9%)

Union Gurten ↑ +0.34 (+18.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.