Admira Wacker Modling II vs Wiener Neustadt

02 Oct 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

Admira Wacker Modling II

Wiener Neustadt

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.9% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 36.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.4% 2.50 DRAW 23.4% 4.11 AWAY 38.2% 2.52

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Admira Wacker Modling II

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Admira Wacker Modling II Wiener Neustadt

Shots 7.8 · On target 2.3 Shots 7.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Wiener Neustadt, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Admira Wacker Modling II Wiener Neustadt

Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Admira Wacker Modling II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Admira Wacker Modling II Wiener Neustadt

The combined recent performance profile favours Admira Wacker Modling II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Admira Wacker Modling II = (0.0%)

Wiener Neustadt ↑ +0.27 (+11.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.