Arenas Club de Getxo vs Athletic Bilbao B

26 Sep 2026 · 18:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Arenas Club de Getxo

Athletic Bilbao B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.9% DRAW 25.4% AWAY 37.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.0% 2.70 DRAW 26.0% 3.74 AWAY 38.1% 2.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Athletic Bilbao B

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Arenas Club de Getxo Athletic Bilbao B

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Arenas Club de Getxo Athletic Bilbao B

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Athletic Bilbao B has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Arenas Club de Getxo Athletic Bilbao B

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Arenas Club de Getxo ↓ -0.40 (-12.9%)

Athletic Bilbao B ↑ +0.45 (+21.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.