Pontevedra vs Ponferradina

27 Sep 2026 · 18:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.0 pp

Pontevedra

Ponferradina

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.0% DRAW 31.1% AWAY 24.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.0% 2.17 DRAW 30.8% 3.10 AWAY 25.2% 3.78

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ponferradina

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pontevedra Ponferradina

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pontevedra Ponferradina

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pontevedra Ponferradina

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Pontevedra ↓ -0.21 (-8.8%)

Ponferradina ↑ +0.88 (+30.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.