Deportivo Fabril vs Real Unión

26 Sep 2026 · 18:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Deportivo Fabril

Real Unión

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.4% DRAW 29.0% AWAY 31.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.2% 2.38 DRAW 29.0% 3.30 AWAY 30.8% 3.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Real Unión

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Fabril Real Unión

Shots 12.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 11.0 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Fabril Real Unión

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Fabril Real Unión

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Deportivo Fabril ↑ +0.13 (+5.7%)

Real Unión ↑ +0.20 (+6.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.