CD Extremadura vs Cultural Leonesa

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

CD Extremadura

Cultural Leonesa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.8% DRAW 30.8% AWAY 32.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.8% 2.50 DRAW 30.5% 3.10 AWAY 31.6% 2.99

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Cultural Leonesa has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Extremadura Cultural Leonesa

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Extremadura Cultural Leonesa

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Cultural Leonesa has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Extremadura Cultural Leonesa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CD Extremadura ↓ -0.25 (-9.1%)

Cultural Leonesa ↑ +0.59 (+24.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.