FC Viktoriya Sumy vs Ingulets Petrovo

03 Oct 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

FC Viktoriya Sumy

Ingulets Petrovo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.2% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 23.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.1% 2.00 DRAW 27.5% 3.58 AWAY 23.4% 4.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Viktoriya Sumy

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Viktoriya Sumy Ingulets Petrovo

Shots 11.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 10.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Viktoriya Sumy Ingulets Petrovo

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Viktoriya Sumy Ingulets Petrovo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

FC Viktoriya Sumy ↑ +0.28 (+15.9%)

Ingulets Petrovo = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.