Polissya Zhytomyr II vs Kolos Kovalivka II

28 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Polissya Zhytomyr II

Kolos Kovalivka II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.6% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 25.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.2% 1.94 DRAW 25.4% 3.60 AWAY 27.4% 3.34

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Polissya Zhytomyr II has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Polissya Zhytomyr II Kolos Kovalivka II

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 5.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Polissya Zhytomyr II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Polissya Zhytomyr II Kolos Kovalivka II

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Polissya Zhytomyr II Kolos Kovalivka II

The combined recent performance profile favours Polissya Zhytomyr II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Polissya Zhytomyr II ↓ -0.42 (-17.8%)

Kolos Kovalivka II ↑ +0.64 (+23.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.