SV Wildon vs ASK Koflach

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

SV Wildon

ASK Koflach

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.0% DRAW 20.1% AWAY 19.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.4% 1.60 DRAW 21.6% 4.25 AWAY 21.0% 4.39

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for SV Wildon relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 61.0% win probability, compared with 57.4% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: SV Wildon

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

SV Wildon ASK Koflach

Shots 15.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 1.5 · On target 0.3

Recent attacking output favours SV Wildon, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SV Wildon ASK Koflach

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 1.3 · On target allowed 0.3

ASK Koflach has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SV Wildon ASK Koflach

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

SV Wildon = (0.0%)

ASK Koflach ↑ +0.48 (+12.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.