SV Lebring vs UFC Fehring

02 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.6 pp

SV Lebring

UFC Fehring

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.3% DRAW 16.7% AWAY 17.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.7% 1.57 DRAW 18.7% 5.09 AWAY 20.5% 4.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates SV Lebring clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 65.3% win probability, compared with 60.7% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: SV Lebring

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

SV Lebring UFC Fehring

Shots 17.3 · On target 6.5 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours SV Lebring, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SV Lebring UFC Fehring

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SV Lebring UFC Fehring

The combined recent performance profile favours SV Lebring.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

SV Lebring ↑ +0.04 (+2.6%)

UFC Fehring ↑ +0.45 (+10.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.