FK Chelyabinsk vs FC Ufa

18 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

FK Chelyabinsk

FC Ufa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.4% DRAW 29.7% AWAY 27.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.2% 2.30 DRAW 29.6% 3.29 AWAY 28.2% 3.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Chelyabinsk FC Ufa

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 7.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Chelyabinsk FC Ufa

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Chelyabinsk FC Ufa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FK Chelyabinsk ↓ -0.62 (-21.3%)

FC Ufa ↑ +0.99 (+40.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.