FK Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Spartak Kostroma

18 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

FK Volga Ulyanovsk

FK Spartak Kostroma

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.8% DRAW 30.4% AWAY 35.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.0% 2.90 DRAW 30.1% 3.18 AWAY 36.9% 2.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FK Spartak Kostroma

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Volga Ulyanovsk FK Spartak Kostroma

Shots 7.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 9.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Volga Ulyanovsk FK Spartak Kostroma

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.0

FK Volga Ulyanovsk has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Volga Ulyanovsk FK Spartak Kostroma

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Volga Ulyanovsk ↑ +0.11 (+3.8%)

FK Spartak Kostroma ↓ -0.04 (-1.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.