Machida Zelvia vs Kyoto Sanga FC

03 Oct 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Machida Zelvia

Kyoto Sanga FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.1% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 22.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.6% 1.74 DRAW 24.5% 3.80 AWAY 21.9% 4.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Machida Zelvia

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Machida Zelvia Kyoto Sanga FC

Shots 13.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Machida Zelvia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Machida Zelvia Kyoto Sanga FC

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Kyoto Sanga FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Machida Zelvia Kyoto Sanga FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Machida Zelvia = (0.0%)

Kyoto Sanga FC ↓ -0.58 (-11.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.