Envigado FC vs Atletico Cali FC

27 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Envigado FC

Atletico Cali FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 68.6% DRAW 20.9% AWAY 10.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 67.5% 1.42 DRAW 21.5% 4.46 AWAY 10.9% 8.76

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Envigado FC

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Envigado FC Atletico Cali FC

Shots 13.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Envigado FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Envigado FC Atletico Cali FC

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Envigado FC Atletico Cali FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Envigado FC ↓ -0.33 (-18.9%)

Atletico Cali FC ↑ +4.43 (+102.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.