Boca Juniors De Cali vs Patriotas FC

27 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Boca Juniors De Cali

Patriotas FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.7% DRAW 30.7% AWAY 35.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.3% 2.60 DRAW 30.5% 3.10 AWAY 33.2% 2.84

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Patriotas FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Boca Juniors De Cali Patriotas FC

Shots 12.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Boca Juniors De Cali Patriotas FC

Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Patriotas FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Boca Juniors De Cali Patriotas FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Patriotas FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Boca Juniors De Cali ↑ +0.11 (+4.5%)

Patriotas FC ↑ +0.51 (+21.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.