Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Deportes Quindio

22 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Deportes Quindio

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.8% DRAW 31.9% AWAY 21.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.6% 1.98 DRAW 30.7% 3.20 AWAY 19.7% 5.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Deportes Quindio

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Real Soacha Cundinamarca Deportes Quindio

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Real Soacha Cundinamarca Deportes Quindio

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.0

Deportes Quindio has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Real Soacha Cundinamarca Deportes Quindio

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportes Quindio.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Real Soacha Cundinamarca ↑ +0.33 (+16.9%)

Deportes Quindio ↓ -0.23 (-6.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.