Flamengo U20 vs Sampaio Correa RJ U20

02 Oct 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.0 pp

Flamengo U20

Sampaio Correa RJ U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 83.8% DRAW 11.3% AWAY 4.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 78.8% 1.27 DRAW 14.1% 7.10 AWAY 7.1% 14.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Flamengo U20 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 83.8% win probability, compared with 78.8% implied by the market. The 5.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Flamengo U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Flamengo U20 Sampaio Correa RJ U20

Shots 22.0 · On target 9.3 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Flamengo U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Flamengo U20 Sampaio Correa RJ U20

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 17.3 · On target allowed 6.5

Flamengo U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Flamengo U20 Sampaio Correa RJ U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Flamengo U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Flamengo U20 = (0.0%)

Sampaio Correa RJ U20 ↑ +6.00 (+75.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.